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Naira Gains To N1,560.57/$1 At Official FX Market

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The Naira has strengthened on the official market to N1,560.57 against the dollar, driven by foreign exchange reforms. The summary of FX trading on Tuesday showed a 0.79 percent appreciation of the Naira, with the dollar quoted at N1,560.57 compared to N1,572.86 on Monday.

This improvement comes amidst indications that the benchmark interest rate may be further raised during the upcoming Monetary Policy Committee meeting. The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, advocated for the highest increase in rates at the last meeting.

The Naira has gained 4.28 percent against the dollar compared to its lowest value of N1,627.40 on March 8, 2024. The daily foreign exchange market turnover was $195.13 million on Tuesday.

At the parallel market, the Naira strengthened to 1,570 per dollar from 1,590 on Monday. Analysts anticipate further stabilization of the Naira this week following recent policy measures introduced by the Central Bank of Nigeria.

These reforms include unifying the foreign exchange market, promoting a willing buyer-willing seller market, removing limits on margins for International Money Transfer Operator remittances, introducing a two-way quote system, and implementing broad reforms in the Bureau De Change segment.

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Dr. Cardoso emphasized the potential of these measures to attract capital inflows and enhance liquidity in the foreign exchange market.

Data from the Central Bank shows a 3.62 percent increase in foreign currency reserves to $34.37 billion as of March 12, 2024, from $33.17 billion recorded at the beginning of February 2024.

The recent announcement by the CBN also indicates a significant increase in Diaspora remittances, rising by 433 percent to $1.3 billion in February compared to $300 million in January.

The Monetary Policy Committee meeting in February raised the Monetary Policy Rate by 400 basis points to 22.75 percent, adjusted the asymmetric corridor, raised the Cash Reserve Ratio, and retained the Liquidity Ratio to address inflation and stabilize the exchange rate.

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Inflation bites harder, renders N20, N10, N5 ‘irrelevant’

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In major markets, prices of goods are shifting away from the lower denominations of the Naira currency due to worsening inflation.

Not too long ago, items like a sachet of pure water were priced at N5, while N20 was commonly used to “settle” police officers at checkpoints. However, in recent years, these smaller denominations have struggled to purchase much.

A recent market survey by DAILY POST revealed that more than half of Nigeria’s legal tender is insufficient for making purchases.

Despite this, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) recognizes denominations such as 50 kobo, N1, and N2 in coin form, as well as N5, N10, N20, and N50 printed on polymer materials.

Currently, a sachet of pure water is priced at N30, and retail prices for items like sugar and candies have increased, with goods often being priced in multiples of 50 or 100, rendering smaller denominations irrelevant.

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Over the past six months, the Naira has significantly depreciated against the dollar, with the intervention by the CBN bringing it to around N1050 to a dollar from a previous high of about N1,900.

This means that Nigeria’s highest denomination of N1000 is now worth less than a single dollar. Holding $1000 makes one a millionaire in Naira based on the current exchange rate, while even $1 exceeds N1,000.

Despite the recent appreciation of the Naira, commodity prices remain high, attributed to various factors including foreign exchange (FX) issues.

However, the Nigerian government continues to print lower denomination currencies at a substantial cost. It reportedly costs N1000 to print each lower denomination due to limitations in printing on polymer.

Experts are urging the CBN to cease printing lower denominations and reconsider the currency structure in line with present circumstances. Some suggest adopting a re-denomination policy similar to Ghana’s, which removed zeros from their currency in 2007.

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Former plans by the CBN to introduce N5000 notes and coin lower denominations like N5, N10, and N20 were met with public backlash in 2012, leading to the abandonment of the proposals. However, prices of goods and services have since risen beyond 2012 levels.

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Interest Rate, High Energy Costs Putting Businesses Under Pressure, LCCI Laments

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The Lagos Chamber of Commerce & Industry (LCCI) has expressed concern about the elevated cost of conducting business in Nigeria, citing factors such as the recent hike in the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) and the increase in electricity tariffs.

Dr. Chinyere Almona, the director-general of LCCI, conveyed these concerns in a statement addressed to LEADERSHIP. Almona highlighted the Chamber’s dismay over the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) decision to raise the MPR from 22.75 percent to 24.75 percent, stating that “similarly, we view the recent escalation in electricity tariffs as adding to the already unbearable cost of living and doing business in Nigeria.”

She underscored that these decisions are compounded by challenges in importing and clearing goods at Nigerian ports, with fluctuating import duty exchange rates making business planning arduous. Almona emphasized that feedback from businesses and analysts suggests that these actions will significantly burden the private sector, worsening an already challenging economic landscape.

Almona noted that the private sector, crucial for driving growth and employment in Nigeria, is grappling with heightened borrowing costs, reduced investment incentives, policy uncertainties, and pressure in the foreign exchange market. She observed that the recent MPR hikes have translated into higher interest rates, hindering businesses’ access to credit for essential functions like working capital, expansion, and sustainability.

While acknowledging the rationale behind removing the subsidy on electricity supply to attract foreign investors with a cost-reflective tariff, Almona advocated for subsidizing production rather than consumption. She urged for an extensive metering program to cover all electricity consumers and emphasized the necessity of a robust regulatory and policy framework to attract more foreign investments into the power sector.

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Almona pointed out that small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are disproportionately affected by the MPR hike policy, given their thin profit margins and reliance on affordable credit. The surge in borrowing costs stifles their ability to invest in productivity enhancements, hire new employees, and contribute to economic growth.

The Chamber urged the CBN to reconsider its monetary policy stance and refrain from further interest rate hikes. Almona also suggested that the CBN explore alternative policy measures to facilitate credit access, encourage investment, and support entrepreneurship. Additionally, she recommended creating an enabling environment for local meter manufacturing to address the gap in meter deployment.

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Naira appreciates N351 against Dollar at forex in one month

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According to data from FMDQ on the dollar exchange rate spanning from March 8 to April 5, 2024, the Naira has experienced a positive shift, appreciating by N351.12 against the US Dollar within the past month. This indicates an increase from N1,602.17 on March 8 to N1,251.05 per Dollar on Friday. This appreciation amounts to a 21.9 percent increase during the mentioned timeframe, signaling a continued strengthening of the Naira since the previous month.

Muda Yusuf, the Director of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, attributed this sustained appreciation of the Naira in the foreign exchange market to recent forex reforms implemented by the Central Bank of Nigeria.

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